{"id":91,"date":"2025-05-03T09:36:00","date_gmt":"2025-05-03T09:36:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/serpens.center\/?p=91"},"modified":"2026-08-12T11:52:59","modified_gmt":"2026-08-12T11:52:59","slug":"russias-strategic-exploitation-of-military-pauses-in-ukraine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/serpens.center\/uk\/publications\/russias-strategic-exploitation-of-military-pauses-in-ukraine\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0421\u0422\u0420\u0410\u0422\u0415\u0413\u0406\u0427\u041d\u0410 \u0415\u041a\u0421\u041f\u041b\u0423\u0410\u0422\u0410\u0426\u0406\u042f \u0420\u041e\u0421\u0406\u0404\u042e \u0412\u0406\u0419\u0421\u042c\u041a\u041e\u0412\u0418\u0425 \u041f\u0410\u0423\u0417 \u0412 \u0423\u041a\u0420\u0410\u0407\u041d\u0406"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">In May 2025, we surveyed 26 Ukrainian service members with direct operational experience spanning the 2014-2022 period and the current war. We then conducted an analysis of Russian ceasefire behavior patterns from 2014-2022, combining archival research with primary source interviews from Ukrainian frontline personnel who were fighting from 2014-2022. This assessment reveals a consistent pattern of strategic deception wherein Moscow systematically exploits ceasefire agreements as operational pauses to reconstitute forces, enhance military capabilities, and prepare for expanded offensive operations.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u0426\u0456 \u043f\u043e\u0433\u043b\u044f\u0434\u0438 \u0437 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0457, \u0443 \u043f\u043e\u0454\u0434\u043d\u0430\u043d\u043d\u0456 \u0456\u0437 \u0437\u0430\u0434\u043e\u043a\u0443\u043c\u0435\u043d\u0442\u043e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u043f\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f\u043c\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0432\u0456\u0434\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0438\u043c\u0438 \u043e\u0446\u0456\u043d\u043a\u0430\u043c\u0438, \u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043e\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0442\u044c \u0435\u043c\u043f\u0456\u0440\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0443 \u043e\u0441\u043d\u043e\u0432\u0443 \u0446\u044c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u0431\u0440\u0438\u0444\u0456\u043d\u0433\u0443. \u0423\u0441\u0456 \u043d\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0434\u0435\u043d\u0456 \u0446\u0438\u0442\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u2014 \u0446\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u044f\u043c\u0456 \u0432\u0438\u0441\u043b\u043e\u0432\u043b\u044e\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0441\u043b\u0443\u0436\u0431\u043e\u0432\u0446\u0456\u0432, \u044f\u043a\u0456 \u0432\u0437\u044f\u043b\u0438 \u0443\u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u044c \u0443 \u043d\u0430\u0448\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u043e\u043f\u0438\u0442\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u0456.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>In May 2025, we surveyed 26 Ukrainian service members with direct operational experience spanning the 2014-2022 period and the current war. We then conducted an analysis of Russian ceasefire behavior patterns from 2014-2022, combining archival research with primary source interviews from Ukrainian frontline personnel who were fighting from 2014-2022. This assessment reveals a consistent pattern [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":92,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_monsterinsights_skip_tracking":false,"_wpcom_ai_launchpad_first_post":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-91","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"aioseo_notices":[],"aioseo_head":"\n\t\t<!-- All in One SEO 5.0.2.1 - aioseo.com -->\n\t<meta name=\"description\" content=\"A survey of 26 Ukrainian service members and an analysis of Russian ceasefire patterns reveal how Moscow uses pauses in fighting to rearm and reposition.\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"max-image-preview:large\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Admin\"\/>\n\t<meta name=\"google-site-verification\" content=\"LdPOnp5Vyk9VA-JSEyoSl0XKRIGejv62PoYYxaFGKvk\" \/>\n\t<meta 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09:36:57","updated":"2026-09-04 08:18:24","focus_keyword":null,"additional_keywords":null,"truseo_locale":null},"aioseo_breadcrumb":"<div class=\"aioseo-breadcrumbs\"><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/serpens.center\/uk\/\" title=\"Home\">Home<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\t<a href=\"https:\/\/serpens.center\/uk\/publications\/category\/uncategorized\/\" title=\"Uncategorized\">Uncategorized<\/a>\n\t\t<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb-separator\">\u00bb<\/span><span class=\"aioseo-breadcrumb\">\n\t\t\tRUSSIA\u2019S STRATEGIC EXPLOITATION OF MILITARY PAUSES IN UKRAINE\n\t\t<\/span><\/div>","aioseo_breadcrumb_json":[{"label":"Home","link":"https:\/\/serpens.center\/uk\/"},{"label":"Uncategorized","link":"https:\/\/serpens.center\/uk\/publications\/category\/uncategorized\/"},{"label":"RUSSIA&#8217;S STRATEGIC EXPLOITATION OF MILITARY PAUSES IN 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